Friday, November 22, 2024

Chilgoza Forest Fires – Natural Causes, Climate Change, or Negligence?

 Chilgoza Forest Fires – Natural Causes, Climate Change, or Negligence?

Yahya Musakhel, Manager Business Development,  Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund

Executive Summary

Chilgoza (Pinus gerardiana) forests are not only a vital ecological resource but also a significant contributor to local and national economies. These forests provide livelihoods to the local communities, serve as grazing lands, protect watersheds, and contribute to biodiversity. However, in recent years, wildfires have devastated these forests, particularly in the Koh-e-Suleiman range, which holds the world’s largest pure stand of Chilgoza forests. Fires in 2022, 2023, and 2024 inflicted heavy losses on biodiversity, local livelihoods, and the economy. These wildfires were driven by a combination of climatic factors, human activities, and insufficient preventive measures.


This report highlights the root causes, impacts, and potential solutions to address and mitigate the recurring forest fire crises. Immediate action from policymakers, government agencies, and communities is essential to protect these vital forests from further degradation.


Introduction

Forest fires are an escalating concern worldwide, driven by both natural factors and human activities. These fires cause severe damage to ecosystems, biodiversity, and the climate by releasing greenhouse gases and aerosols. Chilgoza forests, found in the Suleiman Range of Pakistan, are particularly vulnerable. Their economic significance, coupled with their role in sustaining local communities and biodiversity, makes their conservation a national priority.

The Suleiman Range, spreading across Balochistan and parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), is home to approximately 89,000 hectares of Chilgoza forests. These forests produce highly valued pine nuts, which are a major source of income for local communities and contribute significantly to Pakistan’s foreign exchange. The Chilgoza tree also provides ecological services such as soil conservation, carbon sequestration, and habitat for wildlife.

However, these forests are under threat. Recent wildfires in the region have caused unprecedented destruction, raising critical questions about whether these fires are the result of natural processes, climate change, or human failure.


Historical Context of Chilgoza Forest Fires

Fire Incidents in the Region

Forest fires in the Chilgoza forests are not a new phenomenon. Historically, small- to medium-scale fires have occurred sporadically. However, the frequency and severity of wildfires have increased in recent years due to climate change and human activities.

Key fire events include:

  • 1961–62: A large fire ignited by tribal disputes, burning a 5-km stretch of forest.
  • 2002: A fire caused by forest clearance went out of control, burning approximately 200 Chilgoza trees.
  • 2015: A small fire in Kucho-Naray (Shirani) damaged around 200 Chilgoza trees.
  • 2022: A catastrophic fire engulfed 6,636 hectares across Balochistan and KP, causing losses estimated at PKR 11 billion (USD 48.6 million). burning approximately 1.9 million Chilgoza trees.
  • 2023 and 2024: Subsequent fires damaged an additional 3,000 acres, with losses still under assessment.

These trends indicate an alarming increase in wildfire frequency and intensity, exacerbated by climatic changes and inadequate management.


Causes of Chilgoza Forest Fires

1. Natural Factors

  • Climatic Conditions: Rising temperatures, prolonged droughts, and reduced rainfall have created highly flammable conditions in the forests. Resin-laden needles, dry twigs, and fallen trees act as fuel.
  • Lightning: At least one of the three fires in 2022 was attributed to a lightning strike.
  • Topography: The mountainous terrain of the Suleiman Range accelerates fire spread due to rolling burning logs and gusty winds.

2. Climate Change

  • Climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of wildfires globally. In Pakistan, extreme weather patterns, including hotter summers and erratic rainfall, have contributed to forest fires. A lack of winter rains in the region exacerbated the dry conditions before the 2022 fires.

3. Human Activities

  • Negligence: Fires caused by cooking activities, improper waste disposal, and deliberate forest clearance have been documented in the region.
  • Drywood inside forest: Lack of management to remove/ extract dry wood from forest, mixing fire lines and connecting gaps.
  • Conflict and Disputes: Tribal conflicts have historically led to intentional forest fires.
  • Lack of Awareness and Capacity: Local communities lack training, tools, and resources to prevent or combat wildfires.

Impacts of the Wildfires

1. Economic Losses

  • Chilgoza Nut Production: The 2022 fire alone destroyed Chilgoza nuts worth PKR 7.4 billion (USD 31.4 million), with long-term losses expected over the next 30 years.
  • Timber Losses: Chilgoza timber losses were estimated at PKR 1.6 billion (USD 6.8 million).
  • Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFPs): Losses of honey, medicinal herbs, and other NTFPs were valued at PKR 5 million.
  • Livelihoods: Thousands of families dependent on forest products have suffered income losses.

2. Environmental Damage

  • Biodiversity Loss: Fires have decimated wildlife, including rare and endemic species, and caused habitat destruction.
  • Soil Degradation: Erosion and reduced fertility threaten long-term forest regeneration.
  • Watershed Disruption: Loss of forest cover affects water retention and increases the risk of flash floods.

3. Health and Climate Impacts

  • Air Pollution: Wildfires release significant amounts of carbon dioxide and particulate matter, contributing to global warming and respiratory issues.
  • Carbon Emissions: The fires have undermined Pakistan’s climate goals by releasing stored carbon into the atmosphere.

Proposed Actions and Recommendations

To address the challenges posed by Chilgoza forest fires, a multi-pronged approach is essential. The following recommendations are targeted at policymakers, government agencies, and stakeholders:

1. Prevention and Preparedness

  • Early Warning Systems: Establish satellite-based systems to monitor forest conditions and provide real-time alerts.
  • Community Training: Train local communities in fire prevention, detection, and suppression techniques.
  • Infrastructure Development: Build access roads, tracks, and water storage facilities in remote forest areas to reduce response time.

2. Capacity Building

  • Equip forest departments and local communities with modern firefighting tools, protective gear, and communication equipment.
  • Create fire lines and maintain them to prevent fire spread.

3. Restoration and Rehabilitation

  • Launch large-scale reforestation programs, focusing on Chilgoza and associated species.
  • Implement soil conservation measures to restore degraded lands.
  • Introduce agroforestry practices to reduce pressure on forests.

4. Economic Interventions

  • Promote value addition for Chilgoza nuts and other NTFPs.
  • Facilitate direct access to international markets for Chilgoza nut exports, minimizing the role of intermediaries.
  • Declare Chilgoza nuts as a purely organic product to increase market value.

5. Policy and Legislation

  • Develop and enforce strict laws against illegal logging and forest clearance.
  • Integrate forest fire management into Pakistan’s national climate change strategy.
  • Strengthen coordination between provincial and federal agencies for disaster management.

Conclusion

The Chilgoza forests of the Suleiman Range are a national treasure, providing ecological, economic, and social benefits. However, the increasing frequency and severity of wildfires threaten their existence. A combination of natural factors, climate change, and human negligence has created a crisis that demands immediate attention.

By implementing preventive measures, building community capacity, and investing in restoration, Pakistan can safeguard these forests for future generations. Policymakers must act decisively to protect this critical resource, ensuring that the livelihoods of local communities and the nation’s biodiversity are preserved.


Acknowledgment

This report draws on assessments conducted by FAO (the author was part of the damage Assessment) , discussions with local stakeholders, and satellite imagery analysis. It aims to inform policymakers and guide urgent action to mitigate the risks posed by forest fires in the Chilgoza ecosystem.

 

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